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My
KLCI megatrend
have shown a
22-year wave cycle being
completed, and a brand
new wave 1 in motion beginning
Sept 1998. Rosier scenario
beckons in the longer term... the magical
2000 points will
be achievable in
9.6 years time! |
|
My
prediction of a big change-in-trend for the KLCI by November
1999 was proven right on the dot! |
|
"In
January last year (Issue 227), guest writer Arifin Abdul Latif
forecast the direction of the KLCI, the economy and the ringgit. Using
technical analysis (see Chart 1), he saw a 'big change in
trend in November'. Did he hit the nail on the head?" Azam
Aris
The EDGE Managing Editor
Feb. 14, 2000
Commentaries:
"Your
article in the magazine
attract me very much. It is one of the most impressive
reading materials that I have read."
"It shows to me that
you have in-depth knowledge in the Elliot Wave Principle (EWP) and you are
well versed in
technical analysis."
Lai
Yun Woon
FOREX Dealer,
Treasury Dept.
PACIFIC BANK BHD.
"What I can conclude
from comments by Minister of Finance, less people talk about the market the better."
"... at least you
don't give up hope".
"Keep on
writing, I know some already got fed up with the ramblings on KLSE."
Dr. Hashim
Hassan
Deputy DG (I),
ICU
PM's Dept, Putrajaya
"....your
recommended book on Japanese candlestick charting techniques really come
in handy....."
Zalida
Hanim Zakaria
Actuaries
Unit, Treasury/MOF
"I have searched
your book .... published in 1985 by the
Australian National University, and I am eager to have this book as a primary reference".
Ooh Chin
Boon
Graduating
student, Faculty of Business and Accounting, University of
Malaya
|
Date: Tue, 3 Oct 2000 12:35:44
+0800
From: drhashim@icu.gov.my
To: arifin
< arifin@intanbk.intan.my >
Subject:
Re: Artikel bagi Buletin
Wawasan 2000
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Ariffin
I'll sent
this time an article on understanding macroeconomic management. Quite
long. But, I hope you can put in the Wawasan as highlights. Well, less
people is talking about the direction of KLSE. that I know.
What I can
conclude from comments by Minister of Finance, less people talk about the
market the better. He was of the opinion that analyst are just aping
what the west is saying. Alright at least you don't give up hope.
My view is investors perception has a lot to do in creating the size of
expansion.
Public
sector growth is more on non-tradable goods - public goods arguments.
Capacity a lot in the facilities, but there need a matching growth in
productive sector. This has to be on technology based and high value added
sector education, manufacturing, and services. You may find answers in
many of these sectors. What we actually create is huge capacity. Now,
socioeconomic projects being actively revived. These are low-value added
consumption in nature - public goods. It does generate growth, but not
that will put speed on expectation. Sectoral growth has a lot to do with
generation of skills, technology, exports, and imports for investment and
leading to quality investments.
Finally,
pushing double digit growth. KLSE needs this change and this is not
forthcoming. Image building factors is associated with companies that is
on KLSE. Again interest rate is low, and market is not giving returns to
push short-term investment. No one dare, this time even with low interest
dangling in front of their eyes. You can say about fundamental. But, our
approach is quite different. Keep on writing, I know some already got
fed up with the ramblings on KLSE.
Can you
organise a project management course for ICU state
officers. I am planning
for one. Get back to me quick.
HH
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From the
Readers' Emails |
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Send us Your Commentaries ...
|
Date: Thu, 14 Sep 2000 10:07:08
+0000 (GMT)
From: CHIEN.M.PACIFICBK.KUL@reuters.net
To:
arifin@intanbk.intan.my
Subject: KLSE VIEW
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DEAR SIR,
HI, HOW ARE YOU? I THINK
THIS WILL BE A SURPRISE TO YOU BECAUSE SOMEONE WHO IS A STRANGER TO YOU,
OUT OF SUDDEN, TRIES TO CALL AND TALK TO YOU. ANYWAY, LET ME INTRODUCE
MYSELF FIRST. I AM MR. LAI YUN WOON FROM TREASURY DEPARTMENT OF THE
PACIFIC BANK BHD. MY AGE IS 26 AND I AM A NOVICE IN TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
STUDIES. I HAVE BEEN APPLYING THIS ANALYSIS IN FINANCIAL MARKETS SUCH AS
FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET, FUTURES MARKETS AND STOCK MARKETS. I FIND OUT
THAT IT IS VERY USEFUL IN GUIDING ME TO READ THE FINANCIAL MARKETS AND
MAKING A GOOD DECISION FOR MY INVESTMENTS. I AM STRONGLY INTERESTED IN IT
AND I HAVE BEEN LEARNING IT VIA READING BOOKS AND ARTICLES IN MAGAZINE,
SURFING INTERNET AND EXCHANGING INFORMATION WITH OTHER CHARTISTS.
I GET TO
KNOW YOU THROUGH THE EDGE MAGAZINE (14 FEB 2000 ISSUE). YOUR ARTICLE
IN THE MAGAZINE ATTRACT ME VERY MUCH. IT IS ONE OF THE MOST
IMPRESSIVE READING MATERIALS THAT I HAVE READ. IN THAT ARTICLE, YOU
HAVE APPLIED THE ELLIOTT WAVE PRINCIPLE (EWP) TO OUR KLSE AND FOLLOWED
STRICTLY TO ITS RULES AND GUIDELINES WHICH I STRONGLY AGREED WITH YOUR
ANALYSIS. IT SHOWS TO ME THAT
YOU HAVE IN-DEPTH KNOWLEDGE
IN THE EWP AND YOU ARE
WELL VERSED IN TECHNICAL
ANALYSIS. FROM MY EXPERIENCE OF PAST READINGS, I REALISE THAT MOST OF
THE CHARTISTS IN MALAYSIA WHO APPLY EWP IN THEIR STUDIES, CAN NEVER
UNDERSTAND THE THEORY WELL AND THEY ALWAYS VIOLATE ITS RULES AND
GUIDELINES. NOW, I AM WRITING TO YOU TO ASK YOUR PERSONAL OPINION OF OUR
KLSE.
I AM VERY GRATEFUL IF YOU
ARE FREE TO ALLOCATE YOUR TIME TO ANSWER MY SEVERAL QUESTIONS THAT ARE
LISTED BELOW:-
1. WHICH WAVE IS KLSE IN NOW?
2. WHERE IS IT HEADING TO?
3. DO YOU APPLY THE EWP IN ANY FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKETS?
I AM LOOKING FORWARD TO LISTENING YOUR REPLY AND HOPING THAT YOU ARE FREE
TO SHARE YOUR PERSONAL VIEW WITH ME.
I APPRECIATE YOUR KINDNESS
TO ANSWER MY CALL. YOU MAY REACH ME AT MY OFFICE NUMBER 03-2320470 OR FAX
NUMBER 03-2013244 INSTEAD OF THIS E-MAIL ADDRESS.
THANK YOU VERY MUCH.
GOODBYE.
LAI YUN
WOON
TREASURY DEPARTMENT
PACIFIC BANK BHD.
|
| On Sat, 23 Sep 2000,
Zalida Hanim
Zakaria
wrote:
|
|
Assalamualaikum,
En. Arifin,
sebenarnya yang jadi trader di Bivex tu ialah adik I. Jadi sebab kesian
tengok dia cari investor tapi tak dapat-dapat, I pun masukkanlah duit
simpanan I. He started trading on 18/9/2000 adalah untung sikit sebanyak
USD80 after deducting the transaction fees. The 2nd trading dia buat on
21/9/2000 untung sama juga USD80. Tapi I risau juga ni sebab duit I
tu masih berada dalam account Bivex.
Kalau I
untung besar yang ni, boleh I cuba pulak KLSE/KLCE/KLOFFE dengan U. Amacam
O.K. tak? U know what, your recommended book on Japanese candlestick
charting techniques really come in handy
because masa ni la I nak
tengok-tengok balik kaedah yang dipakai.
Pls. inform
me of any latest news that you know regarding the spot/cash
market.
Bye.
Zalida Hanim
Zakaria
|
Date: Tue, 03 Oct 2000 14:30:07
GMT
From: ooh chinboon < ocboon@hotmail.com
>
To: arifin@intanbk.intan.my
Subject: requesting your
book
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Mr. Arifin
Abdul Latif,
I am a
graduating student of the Faculty of Business And Accounting, University
of Malaya. I am doing my final project entitled "The Performance of Common
Stock in relation to Malaysia Economy Growth". I have searched your
book "A Study on Stock Market Trends of Plantation Securities and Its
Relationship to the Malaysian Economy" published in 1985 by the
Australian National University, and I am eager to have this book as a
primary reference. However, this book is not available at the
university library.
Could you
please kindly provide me a copy of this book? I am looking forward to
hearing from you soon.
Thank you in
advance.
Yours
sincerely,
Ooh Chin
Boon
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